Severe Humanitarian Crisis Looms in Afghanistan: 21.9 Million Expected to Need Aid by 2026

An analysis of health and mental support in Afghanistan indicates that 21.9 million people will require humanitarian assistance by 2026, with a severe food crisis threatening their wellbeing.

Increasing Humanitarian Needs in Afghanistan

The health and mental support analysis released by the United Nations Development Programme and UNICEF predicts that around 21.9 million people, or 45% of the country’s population, will be in need of humanitarian aid by 2026. This assessment, published on August 27, 2026, also highlights that 17.4 million individuals are expected to face acute food insecurity.

Impacts of Food Insecurity and Natural Disasters

The analysis warns that worsening food insecurity, droughts induced by climate change, earthquakes, and floods have particularly severe effects on Afghan women and girls. Additionally, the recent surge in returnees to Afghanistan has further strained humanitarian needs.

Recommendations for Improving Conditions for Women and Families

This comprehensive health and mental support analysis emphasizes the need to enhance mechanisms for supporting women, advocating for safe spaces, the employment of female staff, and access to specialized services. Such measures are especially critical for women who lack male guardians.

Risks from Unexploded Ordnance

Given the restrictions imposed on women and girls, the prevalence of early marriages and child labor is expected to rise. On average, about 50 individuals are injured or lose their lives each month due to unexploded ordnance.

Drought Conditions and Return of Migrants

Drought continues to plague Afghanistan, with 12 provinces severely impacted. As a result, 3.4 million people are affected, and the humanitarian needs have risen significantly with the extensive return of migrants. In 2025, over 2.61 million Afghans returned from Iran and Pakistan, placing additional pressure on host communities and essential services.